Projection · PPR
153.3
113–194 range
ADP (consensus)
148
as of Jul 17
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 13 | 101.6 | 7.8 |
| 2023 | 17 | 174.4 | 10.3 |
| 2024 | 13 | 132.1 | 10.2 |
| 2025 | 16 | 165.4 | 10.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 153.3 | 9.0 |
How we got there (v2)
9.66
PPG (aged)
15.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
153.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).