Projection · PPR
161.2
120–203 range
ADP (consensus)
139
as of Jul 17
Confidence
94%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 11 | 48.4 | 4.4 |
| 2023 | 17 | 177.1 | 10.4 |
| 2024 | 14 | 104.4 | 7.5 |
| 2025 | 17 | 188.1 | 11.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 161.2 | 9.5 |
How we got there (v2)
9.83
PPG (aged)
16.4
Expected games
1.00
Team context
161.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).