Projection · PPR
122.4
89–156 range
ADP (consensus)
270
as of Jul 17
Confidence
84%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 148.2 | 9.9 |
| 2023partial | 11 | 76.8 | 7.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 170.3 | 10.0 |
| 2025 | 15 | 113.6 | 7.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 122.4 | 7.2 |
How we got there (v2)
7.88
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
122.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).