Projection · PPR
135.9
102–170 range
ADP (consensus)
117
as of Jul 17
Confidence
98%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 87.9 | 5.2 |
| 2023 | 16 | 97.4 | 6.1 |
| 2024 | 17 | 62.6 | 3.7 |
| 2025 | 17 | 221.3 | 13.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 135.9 | 8.0 |
How we got there (v2)
8.30
PPG (aged)
16.4
Expected games
1.00
Team context
135.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.74 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.30.