Projection · PPR
166.9
116–218 range
ADP (consensus)
406
as of Jun 22
Confidence
63%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 296.0 | 19.7 |
| 2023 | 13 | 230.2 | 17.7 |
| 2024partial | 10 | 119.1 | 11.9 |
| 2025partial | 9 | 142.7 | 15.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 166.9 | 9.8 |
How we got there (v2)
14.96
PPG (aged)
11.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
166.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).