Projection · PPR
204.9
153–257 range
ADP (consensus)
35
as of Jul 17
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 4 | 42.0 | 10.5 |
| 2023 | 16 | 179.2 | 11.2 |
| 2024 | 17 | 157.9 | 9.3 |
| 2025 | 16 | 242.8 | 15.2 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 204.9 | 12.1 |
How we got there (v2)
12.39
PPG (aged)
16.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
204.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).