Projection · PPR
124.0
88–160 range
ADP (consensus)
1155
as of Jun 22
Confidence
73%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 225.5 | 13.3 |
| 2023 | 17 | 195.5 | 11.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 204.6 | 12.0 |
| 2025partial | 3 | 11.6 | 3.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 124.0 | 7.3 |
How we got there (v2)
10.91
PPG (aged)
11.4
Expected games
1.00
Team context
124.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.48 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.91.