Projection · PPR
191.9
141–243 range
ADP (consensus)
65
as of Jul 17
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 259.2 | 15.2 |
| 2023 | 14 | 198.6 | 14.2 |
| 2024 | 15 | 149.6 | 10.0 |
| 2025 | 16 | 194.1 | 12.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 191.9 | 11.3 |
How we got there (v2)
12.09
PPG (aged)
15.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
191.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).