Projection · PPR
209.7
154–265 range
ADP (consensus)
34
as of Jul 17
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 256.6 | 15.1 |
| 2023 | 16 | 227.6 | 14.2 |
| 2024 | 13 | 199.4 | 15.3 |
| 2025 | 17 | 201.8 | 11.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 209.7 | 12.3 |
How we got there (v2)
13.05
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
209.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).