Projection · PPR
254.5
185–324 range
ADP (consensus)
120
as of Jun 2
Confidence
84%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 295.6 | 17.4 |
| 2023 | 16 | 262.5 | 16.4 |
| 2024partial | 10 | 145.2 | 14.5 |
| 2025 | 17 | 338.2 | 19.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 254.5 | 15.0 |
How we got there (v2)
16.45
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
254.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 17.32 PPG; age curve adjusts to 16.45.