Projection · PPR
140.4
105–176 range
ADP (consensus)
97
as of Jun 2
Confidence
100%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 10 | 75.6 | 7.6 |
| 2023 | 17 | 137.3 | 8.1 |
| 2024 | 17 | 131.2 | 7.7 |
| 2025 | 17 | 210.8 | 12.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 140.4 | 8.3 |
How we got there (v2)
8.26
PPG (aged)
17.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
140.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.88 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.26.