Projection · PPR
203.9
152–256 range
ADP (consensus)
42
as of Jul 17
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 205.1 | 12.1 |
| 2023 | 17 | 282.4 | 16.6 |
| 2024 | 15 | 130.2 | 8.7 |
| 2025 | 17 | 253.9 | 14.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 203.9 | 12.0 |
How we got there (v2)
12.66
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
203.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.33 PPG; age curve adjusts to 12.66.