Projection · PPR
129.3
95–164 range
ADP (consensus)
221
as of Jul 17
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 11 | 101.5 | 9.2 |
| 2023 | 14 | 78.9 | 5.6 |
| 2024 | 16 | 193.2 | 12.1 |
| 2025 | 15 | 82.3 | 5.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 129.3 | 7.6 |
How we got there (v2)
8.22
PPG (aged)
15.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
129.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).