Projection · PPR
144.7
105–184 range
ADP (consensus)
186
as of Jul 17
Confidence
84%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 82.6 | 5.2 |
| 2023 | 13 | 51.5 | 4.0 |
| 2024 | 15 | 210.5 | 14.0 |
| 2025 | 15 | 173.3 | 11.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 144.7 | 8.5 |
How we got there (v2)
9.59
PPG (aged)
15.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
144.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.09 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.59.