Projection · PPR
161.9
118–206 range
ADP (consensus)
190
as of Jun 2
Confidence
84%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 82.6 | 5.2 |
| 2023 | 13 | 51.5 | 4.0 |
| 2024 | 15 | 210.5 | 14.0 |
| 2025 | 15 | 173.3 | 11.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 161.9 | 9.5 |
How we got there (v2)
10.51
PPG (aged)
15.4
Expected games
1.00
Team context
161.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).