Projection · PPR
184.7
137–232 range
ADP (consensus)
103
as of Jul 17
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 16 | 91.5 | 5.7 |
| 2024 | 16 | 197.8 | 12.4 |
| 2025 | 17 | 216.3 | 12.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 184.7 | 10.9 |
How we got there (v2)
11.42
PPG (aged)
16.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
184.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.02 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.42.