Projection · PPR
157.8
116–200 range
ADP (consensus)
210
as of Jul 17
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 134.8 | 8.4 |
| 2023 | 13 | 97.8 | 7.5 |
| 2024 | 15 | 122.8 | 8.2 |
| 2025 | 17 | 179.9 | 10.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 157.8 | 9.3 |
How we got there (v2)
9.82
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
157.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).