Projection · PPR
204.0
152–256 range
ADP (consensus)
106
as of Jul 17
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 216.5 | 13.5 |
| 2023 | 16 | 252.2 | 15.8 |
| 2024 | 16 | 165.8 | 10.4 |
| 2025 | 17 | 202.4 | 11.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 204.0 | 12.0 |
How we got there (v2)
12.24
PPG (aged)
16.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
204.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).