Projection · PPR
128.8
86–171 range
ADP (consensus)
107
as of Jul 17
Confidence
47%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 8 | 81.2 | 10.2 |
| 2023partial | 1 | 11.7 | 11.7 |
| 2024 | 13 | 191.8 | 14.8 |
| 2025partial | 10 | 115.9 | 11.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 128.8 | 7.6 |
How we got there (v2)
12.58
PPG (aged)
10.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
128.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.24 PPG; age curve adjusts to 12.58.