Projection · PPR
261.3
193–330 range
ADP (consensus)
206
as of Jul 17
Confidence
92%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 4 | 11.7 | 2.9 |
| 2023 | 17 | 319.1 | 18.8 |
| 2024 | 15 | 233.9 | 15.6 |
| 2025 | 15 | 235.1 | 15.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 261.3 | 15.4 |
How we got there (v2)
16.40
PPG (aged)
15.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
261.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).