Projection · PPR
169.5
122–217 range
ADP (consensus)
275
as of Jul 17
Confidence
78%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | 170.3 | 10.0 |
| 2022 | 17 | 227.8 | 13.4 |
| 2023 | 16 | 249.2 | 15.6 |
| 2024partial | 7 | 62.4 | 8.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 169.5 | 10.0 |
How we got there (v2)
13.25
PPG (aged)
12.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
169.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).