Projection · PPR
171.7
123–221 range
ADP (consensus)
50
as of Jul 17
Confidence
76%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14 | 220.9 | 15.8 |
| 2023partial | 12 | 137.6 | 11.5 |
| 2024partial | 12 | 222.1 | 18.5 |
| 2025 | 15 | 211.6 | 14.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 171.7 | 10.1 |
How we got there (v2)
13.01
PPG (aged)
13.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
171.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).