Projection · PPR
273.3
201–346 range
ADP (consensus)
129
as of Jun 2
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 281.3 | 16.5 |
| 2023 | 13 | 234.2 | 18.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 285.4 | 16.8 |
| 2025 | 16 | 286.9 | 17.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 273.3 | 16.1 |
How we got there (v2)
16.94
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
273.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).