Projection · PPR
253.7
185–322 range
ADP (consensus)
12
as of Jul 17
Confidence
86%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 368.7 | 21.7 |
| 2023partial | 10 | 202.2 | 20.2 |
| 2024 | 17 | 317.5 | 18.7 |
| 2025 | 17 | 201.5 | 11.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 253.7 | 14.9 |
How we got there (v2)
15.79
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
253.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).