Projection · PPR
291.2
216–367 range
ADP (consensus)
82
as of Jul 17
Confidence
94%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 378.0 | 25.2 |
| 2023 | 17 | 356.8 | 21.0 |
| 2024 | 15 | 315.1 | 21.0 |
| 2025 | 16 | 301.1 | 18.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 291.2 | 17.1 |
How we got there (v2)
17.90
PPG (aged)
16.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
291.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).