Projection · PPR
210.6
157–265 range
ADP (consensus)
76
as of Jul 17
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14 | 191.1 | 13.7 |
| 2023 | 16 | 199.3 | 12.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 214.5 | 12.6 |
| 2025 | 16 | 228.6 | 14.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 210.6 | 12.4 |
How we got there (v2)
13.13
PPG (aged)
16.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
210.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.82 PPG; age curve adjusts to 13.13.