Projection · PPR
176.2
132–221 range
ADP (consensus)
172
as of Jul 17
Confidence
98%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 204.2 | 13.6 |
| 2023 | 16 | 141.8 | 8.9 |
| 2024 | 17 | 240.9 | 14.2 |
| 2025 | 17 | 120.7 | 7.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 176.2 | 10.4 |
How we got there (v2)
10.45
PPG (aged)
16.9
Expected games
1.00
Team context
176.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).