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Joe Burrow

Age 296 yr expv3.0
Projection · PPR
208.7
147–271 range
ADP (consensus)
71
as of Jun 2
Confidence
69%
model self-rated

Recent seasons (PPR points)

dashed = projection
351147373134209
SeasonGamesPointsPPG
202216350.721.9
2023partial10147.214.7
202417372.821.9
2025partial8134.516.8
2026projected17208.712.3
How we got there (v2)
17.75
PPG (aged)
11.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
208.7
Projection

Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).