Projection · PPR
221.3
156–287 range
ADP (consensus)
72
as of Jul 17
Confidence
69%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 350.7 | 21.9 |
| 2023partial | 10 | 147.2 | 14.7 |
| 2024 | 17 | 372.8 | 21.9 |
| 2025partial | 8 | 134.5 | 16.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 221.3 | 13.0 |
How we got there (v2)
18.82
PPG (aged)
11.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
221.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).