Projection · PPR
71.8
52–91 range
ADP (consensus)
307
as of Jul 17
Confidence
84%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 42.8 | 3.6 |
| 2023partial | 9 | 32.4 | 3.6 |
| 2024 | 17 | 91.7 | 5.4 |
| 2025 | 17 | 100.3 | 5.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 71.8 | 4.2 |
How we got there (v2)
4.65
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
71.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 4.89 PPG; age curve adjusts to 4.65.