Projection · PPR
83.8
61–107 range
ADP (consensus)
314
as of Jun 2
Confidence
84%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 42.8 | 3.6 |
| 2023partial | 9 | 32.4 | 3.6 |
| 2024 | 17 | 91.7 | 5.4 |
| 2025 | 17 | 100.3 | 5.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 83.8 | 4.9 |
How we got there (v2)
5.42
PPG (aged)
15.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
83.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 5.71 PPG; age curve adjusts to 5.42.