Projection · PPR
111.1
83–140 range
ADP (consensus)
347
as of Jun 22
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 177.9 | 11.1 |
| 2023 | 17 | 167.3 | 9.8 |
| 2024 | 15 | 96.6 | 6.4 |
| 2025 | 17 | 108.8 | 6.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 111.1 | 6.5 |
How we got there (v2)
6.90
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
111.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 7.26 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.90.