Projection · PPR
175.0
131–219 range
ADP (consensus)
93
as of Jul 17
Confidence
98%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 248.8 | 15.6 |
| 2023 | 17 | 222.6 | 13.1 |
| 2024 | 16 | 200.7 | 12.5 |
| 2025 | 17 | 185.8 | 10.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 175.0 | 10.3 |
How we got there (v2)
11.20
PPG (aged)
15.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
175.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 13.18 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.20.