Projection · PPR
192.6
142–243 range
ADP (consensus)
113
as of Jul 17
Confidence
92%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14 | 182.3 | 13.0 |
| 2023 | 16 | 218.6 | 13.7 |
| 2024 | 15 | 218.0 | 14.5 |
| 2025 | 16 | 175.8 | 11.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 192.6 | 11.3 |
How we got there (v2)
12.18
PPG (aged)
15.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
192.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.82 PPG; age curve adjusts to 12.18.