Projection · PPR
85.4
62–109 range
ADP (consensus)
267
as of Jul 17
Confidence
80%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 42.0 | 2.8 |
| 2023 | 16 | 109.3 | 6.8 |
| 2024 | 15 | 127.1 | 8.5 |
| 2025partial | 10 | 65.2 | 6.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 85.4 | 5.0 |
How we got there (v2)
6.35
PPG (aged)
13.4
Expected games
1.00
Team context
85.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.69 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.35.