Projection · PPR
123.6
89–158 range
ADP (consensus)
421
as of Jun 22
Confidence
80%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 16 | 274.4 | 17.1 |
| 2022 | 17 | 180.7 | 10.6 |
| 2023 | 13 | 152.7 | 11.7 |
| 2024partial | 11 | 89.1 | 8.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 123.6 | 7.3 |
How we got there (v2)
9.87
PPG (aged)
12.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
123.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.39 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.87.