Projection · PPR
173.2
127–219 range
ADP (consensus)
238
as of Jun 2
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 13 | 168.4 | 13.0 |
| 2023 | 15 | 243.7 | 16.2 |
| 2024 | 15 | 155.6 | 10.4 |
| 2025 | 16 | 188.2 | 11.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 173.2 | 10.2 |
How we got there (v2)
11.05
PPG (aged)
15.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
173.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.63 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.05.