Projection · PPR
174.8
120–230 range
ADP (consensus)
198
as of Jul 17
Confidence
57%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 289.0 | 18.1 |
| 2023partial | 6 | 57.0 | 9.5 |
| 2024partial | 10 | 135.3 | 13.5 |
| 2025 | 13 | 226.4 | 17.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 174.8 | 10.3 |
How we got there (v2)
15.17
PPG (aged)
11.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
174.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).