Projection · PPR
223.6
164–284 range
ADP (consensus)
22
as of Jul 17
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 299.6 | 17.6 |
| 2023 | 17 | 289.6 | 17.0 |
| 2024 | 13 | 216.9 | 16.7 |
| 2025 | 15 | 220.3 | 14.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 223.6 | 13.2 |
How we got there (v2)
14.69
PPG (aged)
15.2
Expected games
1.00
Team context
223.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 15.46 PPG; age curve adjusts to 14.69.