Projection · PPR
168.4
123–214 range
ADP (consensus)
58
as of Jul 17
Confidence
86%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 229.0 | 13.5 |
| 2023 | 17 | 203.2 | 12.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 267.8 | 15.8 |
| 2025partial | 10 | 114.2 | 11.4 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 168.4 | 9.9 |
How we got there (v2)
11.95
PPG (aged)
14.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
168.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.58 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.95.