Projection · PPR
215.8
158–274 range
ADP (consensus)
29
as of Jul 17
Confidence
88%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 328.3 | 19.3 |
| 2023 | 13 | 181.1 | 13.9 |
| 2024 | 17 | 293.1 | 17.2 |
| 2025 | 15 | 237.1 | 15.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 215.8 | 12.7 |
How we got there (v2)
14.08
PPG (aged)
15.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
215.8
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 14.82 PPG; age curve adjusts to 14.08.