Projection · PPR
185.6
128–244 range
ADP (consensus)
172
as of Jul 17
Confidence
59%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 11 | 200.5 | 18.2 |
| 2023partial | 8 | 146.4 | 18.3 |
| 2024 | 17 | 297.2 | 17.5 |
| 2025partial | 5 | 77.8 | 15.6 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 185.6 | 10.9 |
How we got there (v2)
17.48
PPG (aged)
10.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
185.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).