Projection · PPR
198.2
146–251 range
ADP (consensus)
89
as of Jul 17
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 226.8 | 13.3 |
| 2023 | 16 | 225.4 | 14.1 |
| 2024 | 15 | 191.2 | 12.7 |
| 2025 | 15 | 187.2 | 12.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 198.2 | 11.7 |
How we got there (v2)
12.55
PPG (aged)
15.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
198.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).