Projection · PPR
193.0
142–244 range
ADP (consensus)
89
as of Jun 2
Confidence
90%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 226.8 | 13.3 |
| 2023 | 16 | 225.4 | 14.1 |
| 2024 | 15 | 191.2 | 12.7 |
| 2025 | 15 | 187.2 | 12.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 193.0 | 11.4 |
How we got there (v2)
12.22
PPG (aged)
15.8
Expected games
1.00
Team context
193.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).