Projection · PPR
144.7
104–186 range
ADP (consensus)
201
as of Jul 17
Confidence
78%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 217.4 | 12.8 |
| 2023 | 15 | 219.0 | 14.6 |
| 2024partial | 10 | 86.5 | 8.7 |
| 2025 | 15 | 112.8 | 7.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 144.7 | 8.5 |
How we got there (v2)
9.87
PPG (aged)
14.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
144.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).