Projection · PPR
197.2
147–248 range
ADP (consensus)
94
as of Jul 17
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 159.4 | 10.6 |
| 2023 | 16 | 190.2 | 11.9 |
| 2024 | 16 | 240.3 | 15.0 |
| 2025 | 17 | 219.7 | 12.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 197.2 | 11.6 |
How we got there (v2)
12.07
PPG (aged)
16.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
197.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.71 PPG; age curve adjusts to 12.07.