Projection · PPR
196.3
146–247 range
ADP (consensus)
93
as of Jun 2
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 159.4 | 10.6 |
| 2023 | 16 | 190.2 | 11.9 |
| 2024 | 16 | 240.3 | 15.0 |
| 2025 | 17 | 219.7 | 12.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 196.3 | 11.5 |
How we got there (v2)
12.02
PPG (aged)
16.3
Expected games
1.00
Team context
196.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.65 PPG; age curve adjusts to 12.02.