Projection · PPR
123.5
88–159 range
ADP (consensus)
131
as of Jun 2
Confidence
76%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 141.2 | 11.8 |
| 2023 | 14 | 136.3 | 9.7 |
| 2024partial | 10 | 103.6 | 10.4 |
| 2025 | 15 | 185.1 | 12.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 123.5 | 7.3 |
How we got there (v2)
8.85
PPG (aged)
14.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
123.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.52 PPG; age curve adjusts to 8.85.