Projection · PPR
132.1
94–170 range
ADP (consensus)
132
as of Jul 17
Confidence
76%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 141.2 | 11.8 |
| 2023 | 14 | 136.3 | 9.7 |
| 2024partial | 10 | 103.6 | 10.4 |
| 2025 | 15 | 185.1 | 12.3 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 132.1 | 7.8 |
How we got there (v2)
9.47
PPG (aged)
14.0
Expected games
1.00
Team context
132.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.18 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.47.