Projection · PPR
124.7
91–158 range
ADP (consensus)
176
as of Jun 2
Confidence
86%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 190.5 | 12.7 |
| 2023partial | 10 | 135.4 | 13.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 188.8 | 11.1 |
| 2025 | 17 | 131.0 | 7.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 124.7 | 7.3 |
How we got there (v2)
7.76
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
124.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.34 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.76.