Projection · PPR
125.6
92–160 range
ADP (consensus)
171
as of Jul 17
Confidence
86%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 190.5 | 12.7 |
| 2023partial | 10 | 135.4 | 13.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 188.8 | 11.1 |
| 2025 | 17 | 131.0 | 7.7 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 125.6 | 7.4 |
How we got there (v2)
7.82
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
125.6
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 8.41 PPG; age curve adjusts to 7.82.