Projection · PPR
223.9
163–285 range
ADP (consensus)
233
as of Jul 17
Confidence
86%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 6 | 86.3 | 14.4 |
| 2023partial | 10 | 23.4 | 2.3 |
| 2024 | 17 | 308.0 | 18.1 |
| 2025 | 17 | 235.4 | 13.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 223.9 | 13.2 |
How we got there (v2)
13.94
PPG (aged)
16.1
Expected games
1.00
Team context
223.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).