Projection · PPR
195.0
146–244 range
ADP (consensus)
75
as of Jul 17
Confidence
100%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 199.1 | 11.7 |
| 2023 | 17 | 286.5 | 16.9 |
| 2024 | 17 | 238.1 | 14.0 |
| 2025 | 17 | 172.2 | 10.1 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 195.0 | 11.5 |
How we got there (v2)
11.70
PPG (aged)
16.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
195.0
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 12.32 PPG; age curve adjusts to 11.70.