Projection · PPR
125.7
91–161 range
ADP (consensus)
192
as of Jun 2
Confidence
80%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | 229.9 | 13.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 199.2 | 11.7 |
| 2025partial | 7 | 47.3 | 6.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 125.7 | 7.4 |
How we got there (v2)
9.88
PPG (aged)
12.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
125.7
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 10.40 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.88.