Projection · PPR
137.2
99–176 range
ADP (consensus)
181
as of Jul 17
Confidence
80%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021partial | 5 | 71.1 | 14.2 |
| 2023 | 17 | 229.9 | 13.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 199.2 | 11.7 |
| 2025partial | 7 | 47.3 | 6.8 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 137.2 | 8.1 |
How we got there (v2)
10.78
PPG (aged)
12.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
137.2
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 11.35 PPG; age curve adjusts to 10.78.