Projection · PPR
152.9
114–192 range
ADP (consensus)
248
as of Jul 17
Confidence
96%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 15 | 142.7 | 9.5 |
| 2023 | 15 | 150.5 | 10.0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 118.2 | 7.0 |
| 2025 | 17 | 177.7 | 10.5 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 152.9 | 9.0 |
How we got there (v2)
9.14
PPG (aged)
16.7
Expected games
1.00
Team context
152.9
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 9.83 PPG; age curve adjusts to 9.14.