Projection · PPR
84.5
61–108 range
ADP (consensus)
361
as of Jun 2
Confidence
84%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 98.2 | 5.8 |
| 2023 | 15 | 65.4 | 4.4 |
| 2024 | 16 | 141.5 | 8.8 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 70.7 | 5.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 84.5 | 5.0 |
How we got there (v2)
5.80
PPG (aged)
14.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
84.5
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.24 PPG; age curve adjusts to 5.80.