Projection · PPR
93.4
68–119 range
ADP (consensus)
353
as of Jul 17
Confidence
84%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 98.2 | 5.8 |
| 2023 | 15 | 65.4 | 4.4 |
| 2024 | 16 | 141.5 | 8.8 |
| 2025partial | 12 | 70.7 | 5.9 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 93.4 | 5.5 |
How we got there (v2)
6.41
PPG (aged)
14.6
Expected games
1.00
Team context
93.4
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware). Pre-age-curve pace was 6.89 PPG; age curve adjusts to 6.41.