Projection · PPR
298.3
224–373 range
ADP (consensus)
191
as of Jul 17
Confidence
100%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 121.4 | 10.1 |
| 2023 | 17 | 274.1 | 16.1 |
| 2024 | 17 | 365.8 | 21.5 |
| 2025 | 17 | 271.9 | 16.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 298.3 | 17.5 |
How we got there (v2)
18.09
PPG (aged)
16.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
298.3
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).