Projection · PPR
281.1
211–351 range
ADP (consensus)
191
as of Jun 2
Confidence
100%
model self-rated
Recent seasons (PPR points)
dashed = projection| Season | Games | Points | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022partial | 12 | 121.4 | 10.1 |
| 2023 | 17 | 274.1 | 16.1 |
| 2024 | 17 | 365.8 | 21.5 |
| 2025 | 17 | 271.9 | 16.0 |
| 2026projected | 17 | 281.1 | 16.5 |
How we got there (v2)
17.05
PPG (aged)
16.5
Expected games
1.00
Team context
281.1
Projection
Per-game pace shrunk via empirical Bayes from the last 3 seasons (recency-weighted, sample-size-aware).